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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

FT

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Stoke City

Backing up a six-goal showing in midweek is likely to be difficult for Stoke, particularly with Pelach still attempting to prove himself. Nevertheless, the superior firepower of the visitors could see them edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
47.73% (0.102 0.1) 24.92% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 27.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37% (0.17 0.17)48.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.155 0.16)70.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)20.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (0.179 0.18)52.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)31.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.055 0.05)68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.73%
    Stoke City 27.35%
    Draw 24.91%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
45.1%
Draw
21.6%
Stoke City
33.3%
51
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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