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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 1
Bristol City

Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Collecting seven points from an available nine at their South Wales base so far this season, Swansea should be confident of earning the derby bragging rights this weekend. Bristol City did well to stage a comeback and beat Oxford last time out, but we feel that the Robins' inconsistency could rear its ugly head once again at the Swansea.com Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
51.16% (0.193 0.19) 25.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)54.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.131 -0.13)75.58% (0.126 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.08% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.267 -0.27)38.4% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)75.16% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.15%
    Bristol City 23.31%
    Draw 25.52%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
71.1%
Draw
14.4%
Bristol City
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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