EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Stoke1 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Stoke City 1-2 Fleetwood Town
Given that Fleetwood have already beaten two sides from higher divisions in the EFL Cup this season, it would not be surprising if they were to do so again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Stoke field a similarly youthful XI to the one that beat Middlesbrough, the visitors could look to take advantage of their hosts' inexperience. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
50.38% ( -1.29) | 23.47% ( 0.16) | 26.14% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
