

Middlesbrough2 - 0Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City
The travelling fans will be hoping that their side can start this game much better than they finished the last one. Nevertheless, though, we are backing Boro to come through with the three points, gaining revenge for the hammering that they took from the Potters last month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
45.99% (![]() | 25.09% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.57% (![]() | 48.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.43% (![]() | 70.56% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% (![]() | 53.9% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% (![]() | 30.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% (![]() | 66.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.06% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 11.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.91% |