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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Watford

Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Watford

Given Watford's poor form away form and how candidly Cleverley spoke about his side's struggles on the road, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Additionally, Leeds are in excellent form and have proven difficult to beat this term, and they should be considered favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
66.94% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.25% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.259 0.26)39.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (0.271 0.27)61.48% (-0.271 -0.27)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)10.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.114 0.11)34.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.294 0.29)39.84% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (0.269 0.27)76.5% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.93%
    Watford 14.25%
    Draw 18.81%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Watford
6.6%
122
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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