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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Leeds logo

Norwich
1 - 1
Leeds

Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds have largely been defensively excellent this season; they may not be able to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday due to Norwich's quality in the final third of the field, but we are still backing the Whites to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.073 0.07) 22.65% (0.218 0.22) 51.97% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.962 -0.96)40.11% (0.963 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-1.002 -1)62.48% (1.002 1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)28.97% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-0.57 -0.57)64.87% (0.572 0.57)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.44 -0.44)15.55% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.828 -0.83)44.48% (0.829 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 25.38%
    Leeds United 51.97%
    Draw 22.65%
Norwich CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.197 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.97%

How you voted: Norwich vs Leeds

Norwich City
34.9%
Draw
14.7%
Leeds United
50.5%
109
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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