Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Derby County 1-0 Norwich City
Derby's home form is keeping them clear of trouble at the start of this season, and we expect that narrative to continue against Norwich on Saturday afternoon. The Canaries are significantly weaker on the road than compared to at their Carrow Road base, meaning that another disappointing outing is on the cards for the East Anglians. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Norwich City |
47.07% ( -0.14) | 25.93% ( 0.06) | 27% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
