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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
63.8% (![]() | 19.98% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.48% (![]() | 40.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.1% (![]() | 62.89% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.96% (![]() | 12.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.46% | 37.54% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% (![]() | 38.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% (![]() | 74.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
2-0 @ 10.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.79% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 4.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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