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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
1 - 0
Linfield

Brobbel (57')
Marriott (25'), Williams (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Finlayson (32'), Clarke (53'), Shields (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between The New Saints and Linfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

Last Six:
    Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
    Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

    Linfield

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
      Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

      We said: The New Saints 1-1 Linfield

       Neither side is likely to give too much away in the first leg of this tie, so it could be a close-fought affair at Park Hall. Nonetheless, the visitors possess enough attacking threat to strike at least once - setting themselves up well for the return in Belfast next Wednesday. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

      Result
      The New SaintsDrawLinfield
      45.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 30.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
      Both teams to score 60.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      58.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)41.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      36.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
      The New Saints Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      50.25% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
      Linfield Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.94% (0.026 0.03)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.95% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
      Score Analysis
          The New Saints 45.46%
          Linfield 30.77%
          Draw 23.77%
      The New SaintsDrawLinfield
      2-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      1-0 @ 8.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-0 @ 6.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
      3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      4-0 @ 1.62%
      4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 3.51%
      Total : 45.46%
      		1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-0 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
      3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
      Other @ 0.25%
      Total : 23.77%
      		1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      0-2 @ 4.37%
      1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
      2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
      0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
      1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
      2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 2.4%
      Total : 30.77%

      How you voted: New Saints vs Linfield

      The New Saints
      55.9%
      Draw
      32.2%
      Linfield
      11.9%
      59
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