Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.