Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.