Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 16

Mar 5, 2023 at 11am UK

Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
2 - 3
Luhansk

Sulejmanov (5', 16' pen.)
Sklyar (33'), Ramires (64'), Isenko (86')
Ramires (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brazhko (57', 90+4' pen.), Rusyn (90+1')
Vantukh (13'), Saputin (15'), Imerekov (20'), Buletsa (27')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions

Last Game: Shakhtar 3-2 Vorskla
Wednesday, November 23 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Last Game: Luhansk 2-2 Kovalivka
Thursday, December 1 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
39.15% ( -0.96)	27.61% ( -0.03)	33.24% ( 1)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.99% (

0.31)

57.01% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.1% (

0.25)

77.91% (

-0.24)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

-0.39)

28.36% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.9% (

-0.5)

64.1% (

0.51)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

0.85)

32.04% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

0.95)

68.51% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Vorskla Poltava 39.15%

Zorya Luhansk 33.24%

Draw 27.61%

Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.15%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.24%