Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Vorskla Poltava.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: U Craiova 3-0 Luhansk
Thursday, August 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Veres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Vorskla Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Zorya Luhansk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Vorskla
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Veres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Vorskla Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Zorya Luhansk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
51.55% ( 0.75) | 24.39% ( -0.25) | 24.06% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.99% ( 0.61) | 49% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% ( 0.55) | 71.09% ( -0.55) |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( 0.53) | 19% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( 0.88) | 50.55% ( -0.88) |
Vorskla Poltava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.13% ( -0.11) | 34.86% ( 0.1) |