Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 2, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 3
Porto

Youssouf (29'), Aguirregabiria (77'), Chiquinho (90+1')
Youssouf (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evanilson (8'), Taremi (45+4'), Conceicao (87')
Cardoso (34'), Eustaquio (50'), Conceicao (80'), Sanchez (90'), Grujic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto have an excellent record against this opponent and also have the added incentive of moving into pole position in the league standings overnight if they can claim all three points in this one. The hosts will certainly not be a pushover, but we feel the Dragons will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Porto
27.35% ( 0.83)	24.73% ( -0.24)	47.92% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 54.76% (

1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.16% (

1.58)

47.83% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98% (

1.44)

70.02% (

-1.43)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

1.49)

31.54% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

1.68)

67.93% (

-1.68)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

0.38)

20.01% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

0.61)

52.21% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 27.35%

Porto 47.92%

Draw 24.72%

Famalicao	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.35%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.92%