MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:04:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu


Patric (21'), Kyung-won (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nishikawa (15'), Miyashiro (52'), Ono (78')
Seok-Ho (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

Last Six:
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
34.84% (-1.098 -1.1) 25.38% (-1.108 -1.11) 39.78% (2.211 2.21)
Both teams to score 56.19% (3.612 3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (4.682 4.68)47.59% (-4.677 -4.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (4.18 4.18)69.79% (-4.175 -4.18)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (1.582 1.58)26.39% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (2.059 2.06)61.54% (-2.055 -2.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (3.342 3.34)23.67% (-3.337 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (4.59 4.59)57.78% (-4.583 -4.58)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 34.84%
    Sagan Tosu 39.78%
    Draw 25.38%
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 8.32% (-1.303 -1.3)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.038999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.588 -0.59)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.325 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.84%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.6 -0.6)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-1.307 -1.31)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.502 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.886 -0.89)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.393 0.39)
0-2 @ 6.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.552 0.55)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.472 0.47)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.317 0.32)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.198 0.2)
2-4 @ 1% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.78%

Head to Head
May 29, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Gamba Osaka
Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
Yamami (58')
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Usami (10')
Apr 14, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Gamba Osaka

Nakano (61')
Usami (68')
Nov 29, 2020 8am
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Patric (77')
Kurata (79')
Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')
Oct 7, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-2
Gamba Osaka
Lopez (90+2')
Watanabe (21', 34')
Takao (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425
> J1 League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!