MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:48:29| >> :120:14813:14813:
PSG logo
Friendlies
Jul 25, 2022 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka

PSG
6 - 2
Gamba Osaka

Sarabia (28'), Neymar (32' pen., 60'), Mendes (37'), Messi (39'), Mbappe (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 4-1)
Kurokawa (34'), Yamami (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's pre-season clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Gamba Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 3-0 Urawa
Saturday, July 23 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Gamba Osaka

While we are expecting Galtier to make a number of alterations, that should not influence the end result. Established players and emerging prospects will want to impress, leading us to predict a comfortable win for the French giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawGamba Osaka
85.25% (0.652 0.65) 10.2% (-0.343 -0.34) 4.55% (-0.3111 -0.31)
Both teams to score 42.61% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.93% (0.114 0.11)30.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.73% (0.138 0.14)51.27% (-0.141 -0.14)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (0.131 0.13)4.89% (-0.1341 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.34% (0.40299999999999 0.4)19.65% (-0.405 -0.41)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.8% (-1.125 -1.13)55.19% (1.122 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12% (-0.681 -0.68)88% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 85.25%
    Gamba Osaka 4.55%
    Draw 10.2%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawGamba Osaka
3-0 @ 12.36% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 9.33% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.167 -0.17)
5-0 @ 5.63% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 5.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.35% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 2.83% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
7-0 @ 1.22% (0.067 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 85.25%
1-1 @ 4.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 10.2%
0-1 @ 1.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 1.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 4.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Gamba Osaka

Paris Saint-Germain
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Gamba Osaka
0.0%
29
rhs 2.0
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