Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 19, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Gimnasia
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Gimnasia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Medellin
Wednesday, May 15 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 15 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Gimnasia |
57.72% ( 0.01) | 24.36% ( -0.01) | 17.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.25% ( 0.04) | 55.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% ( 0.03) | 76.88% ( -0.03) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.02) | 19.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% ( 0.03) | 50.87% ( -0.03) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.89% ( 0.02) | 45.1% ( -0.03) |