Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1

May 13, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
3 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Castillo (39'), Abaldo (51'), Colazo (68')
Castro (42'), Morales (58'), Colazo (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pellegrini (82')
Mammana (33'), Gomez (58'), Pellegrini (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Banfield
Sunday, April 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
37.11% ( -1.04)	29.54% ( 0.21)	33.34% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 43.25% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.28% (

-0.58)

63.72% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.01% (

-0.41)

82.99% (

0.41)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-0.95)

32.95% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-1.07)

69.53% (

1.07)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51% (

0.28)

35.49% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

0.29)

72.25% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 37.11%

Velez Sarsfield 33.34%

Draw 29.53%

Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.11%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.34%