Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
51.52% ( -0.1)	27.38% ( 0.01)	21.1% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 41.21% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59% (

0.04)

62.41% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96% (

0.03)

82.04% (

-0.03)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.03)

24.55% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

-0.04)

59.03% (

0.04)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.62% (

0.12)

45.38% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.76% (

0.1)

81.24% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 51.51%

Deportivo Riestra 21.1%

Draw 27.37%

Gimnasia	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 15.64% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.1%