Defensa
3 - 2
Gimnasia

Merentiel (5'), Rotondi (44'), Tripichio (70')
Bou (15'), Tripichio (58'), Soto (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tarragona (37'), Frias (90+1' og.)
Fratta (42'), Carbonero (49'), Aleman (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Gimnasia
51.15%	25.6%	23.25%

Both teams to score 48.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49%

54.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14%

75.86%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66%

21.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7%

54.3%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35%

38.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61%

75.39%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 51.15%

Gimnasia 23.25%

Draw 25.6%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.25%