Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.