England Women4 - 0Sweden Women
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England Women | 3 | 14 | 9 |
2 | Austria Women | 3 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Norway Women | 3 | -6 | 3 |
4 | Northern Ireland Women | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Friday, July 22 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sweden Women | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Netherlands Women | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Switzerland Women | 3 | -4 | 1 |
4 | Portugal Women | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.
Result | ||
England Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
41.8% ( 0) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 34.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.02% ( 0.05) | 37.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.76% ( 0.05) | 60.23% ( -0.06) |
England Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.39% ( 0.02) | 18.6% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.1% ( 0.04) | 49.89% ( -0.04) |
Sweden Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.02) | 21.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.85% ( 0.04) | 55.15% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
England Women | Draw | Sweden Women |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.85% |
How you voted: England Women vs Sweden Women
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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