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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Haverfordwest


Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
45.79% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 23.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.01% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.56% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)38.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.95% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)17.25% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.112 -0.11)47.57% (0.108 0.11)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.057999999999993 0.06)24.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.082999999999998 0.08)58.79% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 45.79%
    Haverfordwest County 31.01%
    Draw 23.19%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.01%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')
Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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