Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay6 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
72.23% ( 0.37) | 16.33% ( -0.17) | 11.43% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.69% ( 0.28) | 34.31% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.79% ( 0.31) | 56.21% ( -0.31) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.71% ( 0.15) | 8.29% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.06% ( 0.37) | 28.93% ( -0.37) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.05% ( -0.14) | 40.95% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.49% ( -0.12) | 77.51% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 72.23%
Caernarfon Town 11.43%
Draw 16.33%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 72.23% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.33% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.43% |
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
0-1
Connah's Quay
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-23 00:20:43
1.20am
Buccaneers
@
Cowboys
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
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