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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 3
Caernarfon


Press (76'), Cotterill (90+4'), Cotterill (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clarke (27'), Richard Williams (41'), Davies (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Barry
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
44.55% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 22.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 32.83% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.64% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)34.99% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.02% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)56.97% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)16.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.061 -0.06)45.86% (0.07 0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)21.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 44.55%
    Caernarfon Town 32.83%
    Draw 22.62%
Barry Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 32.83%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (45+1' pen.)
Hood (17'), Kavanagh (61')
Harrison (62')
Eardley (31'), Morris (43'), (45+2'), Owens (65')
Horan (45')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Barry
1-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
1-2
Barry
Bradley (55')
Beaumont (8'), Bailey (41'), John (47'), Cartwright (59'), Jones (90+1')
McLaggon (11'), Cotterill (37')
Abbruzzese (79')
May 22, 2021 5.30pm
Barry
1-3
Caernarfon
Edwards (44' og.)
Green (16'), Kavanagh (61')
Hayes (41', 50'), Bickerstaff (90+5')
Edwards (41')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
3-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')
Thomas (45', 90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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