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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Barry

Bradley (55')
Beaumont (8'), Bailey (41'), John (47'), Cartwright (59'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McLaggon (11'), Cotterill (37')
Abbruzzese (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
48.81%23.09%28.1%
Both teams to score 60.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08%39.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72%62.28%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4%16.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.59%46.41%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1%26.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78%62.21%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 48.81%
    Barry Town United 28.1%
    Draw 23.08%
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.1%

Head to Head
May 22, 2021 5.30pm
Barry
1-3
Caernarfon
Edwards (44' og.)
Green (16'), Kavanagh (61')
Hayes (41', 50'), Bickerstaff (90+5')
Edwards (41')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
3-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (57' pen.), Kavanagh (62'), Cotterill (81')
Thomas (45', 90')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
0-1
Barry

Cleworth (5'), Kenny (27'), Thomas (54'), Edwards (61'), Jones (82')
Hutson (90+2')
McDonald (53'), McLaggon (77')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-0
Barry
Kenny (81'), Jones (86')
Thomas (17'), Mendes (62'), Edwards (68'), Kenny (90+2')

Cooper (29')
Cooper (53')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Barry
3-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
Hayes (66')
(33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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