Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.