Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Druids had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.