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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
1 - 0
Barry

Ahmun (19' pen.)
Vaughan (42'), Ahmun (88')
Vaughan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sainty (18'), McLaggon (22'), Tomlinson (58'), Hulbert (82'), Cotterill (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBarry Town United
35.08% (-0.87 -0.87) 26.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.23% (0.886 0.89)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.75% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.535 -0.53)28.94% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.666 -0.67)64.82% (0.667 0.67)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.505 0.5)27.07% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.65799999999999 0.66)62.44% (-0.656 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 35.08%
    Barry Town United 38.22%
    Draw 26.69%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.22%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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