Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 4Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Newtown
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
39.33% ( 0.15) | 24.93% ( -0.03) | 35.73% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.56% ( 0.14) | 45.43% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.23% ( 0.13) | 67.76% ( -0.13) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( 0.14) | 22.94% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( 0.2) | 56.72% ( -0.2) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( -0.01) | 59.46% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 39.33%
Connah's Quay Nomads 35.73%
Draw 24.92%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.73% |
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
0-1
Connah's Quay
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
May 8, 2021 5.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-23 03:52:33
1.20am
Buccaneers
@
Cowboys
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
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