Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Haverfordwest1 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Newtown
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
49.2% ( -0.27) | 23.92% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( 0.06) | 44.62% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( 0.05) | 66.99% ( -0.05) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.76% ( -0.08) | 18.24% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.73% ( -0.14) | 49.27% ( 0.14) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.79% ( 0.21) | 30.21% ( -0.21) |