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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
Evans (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Thomas (50'), Gosset (67'), Hughes (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 4-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
52.18% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 22.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.75% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (0.065999999999995 0.07)44.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 52.18%
    Caernarfon Town 25.09%
    Draw 22.73%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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