MX23RW : Friday, January 31 02:22:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
3 - 2
Caernarfon

Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Arnison (86'), Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Bell (17'), Thomas (41'), Faux (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 2-3 Caernarfon
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
41.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.4% (0.0019999999999989 0) 33.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.6% (0.012 0.01)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 41.66%
    Caernarfon Town 33.95%
    Draw 24.4%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.95%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth

Gosset (30'), Simpson (77'), Hughes (78')
Bell (54')
Flint (41')
Flint (54'), Cadwallader (80')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Faux (76')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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