MX23RW : Monday, December 23 04:38:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Newtown

Davies (2'), Nash (63'), Franklin (66')
Disney (18'), Harrington (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
60.65% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 21.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.7% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.66% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.34% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)67.68% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (0.012 0.01)42.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)39.21% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.08% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)75.92% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 60.64%
    Newtown AFC 17.7%
    Draw 21.65%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.83% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39%
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.7%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
2-0
Newtown
Morris (50' pen.), Kenny (70')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
1-1
Connah's Quay
Robles (6')
Wilde (90')
Jan 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-0
Connah's Quay
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Morris (27' pen.), Wilde (43'), Hayes (65')
Williams (82')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
1-0
Connah's Quay
Mwandwe (38')
Ismail (29')

Donohue (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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