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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Newtown logo

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
Newtown

Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
MacDonald (45'), Owen (48'), Pennock (90+1'), Clutton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ismail (16')
Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (56'), Williams (77'), Clutton (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
41.01% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 23.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 35.01% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 61.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (-0.061 -0.06)41.05% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55% (-0.061 -0.06)63.45% (0.058 0.06)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)52.58% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)23.23% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (-0.101 -0.1)57.14% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 41.01%
    Newtown AFC 35.01%
    Draw 23.98%
Pen-y-BontDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 6% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 5
Newtown
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Roberts (63'), Walker (77'), Ismail (87'), Hughes (90+3')
Roberts (67')
Owen (59')
Harling (51')
Harling (77')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')

Rushton (3')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
gameweek 7
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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