MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:04:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont


Roberts (63'), Walker (77'), Ismail (87'), Hughes (90+3')
Roberts (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Owen (59')
Harling (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
37.17% (-1.094 -1.09) 26.67% (0.275 0.27) 36.15% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.852 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-1.106 -1.11)53.03% (1.102 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.948 -0.95)74.62% (0.946 0.95)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.144 -1.14)27.6% (1.141 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-1.495 -1.5)63.13% (1.492 1.49)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 37.17%
    Pen-y-Bont 36.15%
    Draw 26.67%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.332 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.411 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.15%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')

Rushton (3')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Hughes (21')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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