Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay1 - 1Bala Town
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
55.32% ( -0.28) | 23.06% ( 0.18) | 21.61% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( -0.66) | 45.99% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( -0.63) | 68.29% ( 0.62) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( -0.33) | 16.48% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( -0.6) | 46.19% ( 0.6) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( -0.27) | 35.44% ( 0.27) |