MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 22:22:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


Vaughan (72'), Hutson (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Davies (4'), Morris (28' pen.), Nash (33')
Harrington (32'), Disney (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barry 2-0 Pontypridd
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Wednesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
28.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 25.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 46.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)50.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.71% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.057999999999993 0.06)32.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.068000000000001 0.07)69.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)21.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 28.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 46.35%
    Draw 25.55%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.0099999999999989 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.09%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.35%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Pontypridd
0-5
Connah's Quay
Disney (15'), Wilde (20'), Holmes (28'), Hayes (36'), Morris (74')
Sep 24, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pontypridd
Wilde (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014


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