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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
0 - 5
Connah's Quay

FT(HT: 0-4)
Disney (15'), Wilde (20'), Holmes (28'), Hayes (36'), Morris (74')
Williams (61'), Nash (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airbus UK 0-4 Pontypridd
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Newtown
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
26.84% (-0.179 -0.18) 26.08% (-0.46 -0.46) 47.08% (0.643 0.64)
Both teams to score 50.18% (1.216 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (1.645 1.65)53.64% (-1.642 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (1.369 1.37)75.14% (-1.366 -1.37)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.739 0.74)35.02% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.768 0.77)71.76% (-0.765 -0.77)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (1.007 1.01)22.78% (-1.004 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (1.468 1.47)56.47% (-1.465 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 26.84%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 47.07%
    Draw 26.08%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.84%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.527 -0.53)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 11.79% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.12 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.07%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pontypridd
Wilde (25')

Lewis (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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