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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-4 New Saints
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
33.72% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 39.41% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)54.08% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)75.51% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)66.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)26.83% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)62.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 33.72%
    Pen-y-Bont 39.41%
    Draw 26.86%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Harling (36'), Owen (79')
Venables (34'), Evans (43'), Jones (56'), Reffell (58'), Davies (76'), Owen (90+6')

Abbruzzese (70'), Whitmore (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Haverfordwest
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Dugan (10'), Veale (33')
D. Wood (90+4' pen.)
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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