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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-4 New Saints
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
33.72% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 39.41% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)54.08% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)75.51% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)66.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)26.83% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)62.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 33.72%
    Pen-y-Bont 39.41%
    Draw 26.86%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.41%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Harling (36'), Owen (79')
Venables (34'), Evans (43'), Jones (56'), Reffell (58'), Davies (76'), Owen (90+6')

Abbruzzese (70'), Whitmore (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Haverfordwest
2-1
Pen-y-Bont
Dugan (10'), Veale (33')
D. Wood (90+4' pen.)
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
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10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
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12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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