Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.