Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Republic of Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Republic of Ireland Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.
