Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Feirense had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Feirense win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.