Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Spezia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Cremonese | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
74.4% ( 0.92) | 15.23% ( -0.44) | 10.37% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.05% ( 0.75) | 31.95% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.49% ( 0.88) | 53.51% ( -0.87) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.71% ( 0.36) | 7.28% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.64% ( 0.94) | 26.36% ( -0.94) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.83% ( -0.33) | 41.17% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.29% ( -0.29) | 77.71% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.63% Total : 74.39% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.23% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |