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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Lazio logo

Spezia
3 - 4
Lazio

Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Lazio

Last Six:
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-3 Lazio

 Along with Sampdoria, one of two teams not to have drawn any Serie A home matches in 2022, Spezia would surely take a point on this occasion. However, Lazio have other ideas, and a powerful mixture of determination to bounce back from the Milan loss and their greater need for the points will ensure they go in all guns blazing on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
18.14%21.47%60.39%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3%41.7%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 18.14%
    Lazio 60.38%
    Draw 21.47%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.18%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 10.44%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 6.5%
0-4 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.38%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
16.4%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
72.1%
61
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Spezia
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
Immobile (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (33')
Akpa-Akpro (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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