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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Atalanta logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Atalanta

Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

Both teams are capable of scoring from a variety of sources - Atalanta have scored courtesy of the most different players (19) in Serie A this season and Spezia sit fifth in that ranking (15) - so this encounter should not be short of goals. Even though La Dea's morale is at a low ebb, they are generally more at ease on away soil, while their hosts may relax a little too much with safety almost assured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
10.58% (0.117 0.12) 16.24% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 73.18% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.092000000000006 0.09)36.48% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.1 0.1)58.63% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (0.275 0.27)43.95% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (0.227 0.23)80.08% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)8.62% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)29.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 10.58%
    Atalanta BC 73.17%
    Draw 16.24%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
1-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.24%
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.17%

How you voted: Spezia vs Atalanta

Spezia
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Atalanta BC
75.0%
48
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta

Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')

Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli23173338162254
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Lazio2313374031942
5Juventus23913139201940
6Fiorentina22116537231439
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma238783429531
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2356122438-1421
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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