Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia5 - 1Como
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Spezia and Como.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Spezia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Como 1-2 Cremonese
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Cosenza Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Como had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Como |
41.48% ( -0.42) | 25.31% ( 0.03) | 33.22% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
