Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.02% ( -1.38) | 21.39% ( -0.37) | 60.59% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( -0.5) | 43.67% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( -0.5) | 66.06% ( 0.5) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -1.8) | 37.85% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( -1.8) | 74.63% ( 1.8) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( 0.38) | 13.96% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.55% ( 0.74) | 41.45% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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