Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca5 - 0Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 3-1 Vizela
Arouca and Vizela head into the weekend off the back of contrasting results, with the Vizelenses looking to bounce back from their humbling defeat against Sporting Lisbon. However, we predict that Sousa's side will pick up where they left off against Estoril and secure a third win in five league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
31.26% ( -0.01) | 27.5% ( 0) | 41.23% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
