MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:35:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadiz (12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao

While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
32.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.41% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.94% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.6% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 32.26%
    Famalicao 41.11%
    Draw 26.62%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Famalicao
0-1
Arouca
Sylla (90+3' pen.)
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
4-1
Famalicao
Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')
Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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